{
  "International Organizations' Assessments and Forecasts": "## International Organizations' Assessments and Forecasts\n\n### World Bank's Latest Growth Projections and Revisions for 2025-2027\n\nInternational financial institutions have provided varying, yet generally optimistic, forecasts for Vietnam's economic growth in the coming years, though these projections consistently remain below the Vietnamese government's ambitious target of 8.3-8.5% for 2025 ([Mekong ASEAN, 2025h](https://mekongasean.vn/world-bank-du-bao-gdp-viet-nam-nam-2025-dat-66-45914.html)). The World Bank (WB) has issued several updates throughout 2025, reflecting evolving global and domestic economic conditions.\n\nIn a report released on January 20, 2025, the World Bank projected Vietnam's GDP to grow by 6.6% in 2025 and 6.3% in 2026. This forecast for 2025 represented a 0.1 percentage point increase compared to the organization's previous projection in October 2024, positioning Vietnam among the fastest-growing economies in Asia, trailing only Bhutan and India, both anticipated to achieve 7.2% growth. The WB noted that Vietnam's projected growth would surpass that of regional peers such as the Philippines (6.1%), Cambodia (5.5%), Indonesia (5.1%), and Thailand (2.9%) ([Mekong ASEAN, 2025d](https://mekongasean.vn/world-bank-du-bao-gdp-viet-nam-nam-2025-tang-truong-66-37658.html)).\n\nSubsequently, on March 12, 2025, the World Bank further revised its forecast upwards, predicting Vietnam's GDP to expand by 6.8% in 2025 and 6.5% in 2026. This adjustment marked an increase of 0.2 percentage points for 2025 and 0.1 percentage points for 2026 compared to its January 2025 figures. At this time, the WB's Chief Economist for Vietnam, Andrea Coppola, indicated that Vietnam was expected to once again be among the fastest-growing economies in the region in 2025 ([Mekong ASEAN, 2025a](https://mekongasean.vn/world-bank-nang-du-bao-tang-truong-gdp-cua-viet-nam-len-68-39172.html); [World Bank, 2025a](https://www.worldbank.org/vi/news/press-release/2025/03/12/viet-nam-s-economy-forecast-to-grow-6-8-percent-in-2025-wb)).\n\nHowever, the most recent assessment from the World Bank, published on September 8, 2025, in its \"Vietnam Economic Update - September 2025\" report, saw a slight downward revision for the 2025 growth projection. The WB now forecasts Vietnam's economy to grow by 6.6% in 2025, attributing this to a robust 7.5% growth rate achieved in the first half of the year. Looking further ahead, the report projected a growth rate of 6.1% for 2026, followed by a recovery to 6.5% in 2027, as global trade is expected to rebound and Vietnam maintains its competitive position in global value chains ([Mekong ASEAN, 2025b](https://mekongasean.vn/world-bank-du-bao-gdp-viet-nam-nam-2025-dat-66-45914.html); [VietnamPlus, 2025a](https://www.vietnamplus.vn/wb-tang-truong-kinh-te-viet-nam-van-vung-vang-nam-2025-post1060562.vnp)). This latest 6.6% forecast for 2025 represents a 0.2 percentage point decrease from the March 2025 projection.\n\nThe consistent gap between the government's 8.3-8.5% target and the World Bank's latest 6.6% forecast for 2025 highlights the ambitious nature of the national goal. While the WB acknowledges Vietnam's potential for rapid growth, even suggesting that an 8% or"
}